Well, no, although Miguel Cabrera seems to think so. Actually, if you look at the standings, the man may have a point. Florida is 20-14 and leading the NL East by a game. Cabrera's new team, the Tigers, are 15-21 and pulling up the rear of the AL Central.
What does all of this prove? Mostly that anything can happen in 35ish games. Still, it is a bit amusing to see that the Marlins, who were 16-18 at this point in 2007, have improved in Cabrera's absence, while the Tigers, who were 23-13, are headed in the opposite direction.
If the playoffs started on May 9, Jeffrey Loria and his co-conspirators would look like geniuses for gutting the team of identifiable talent unloading Cabrera for shiny prospects. Unfortunately, they've still got 4 1/2 months left on the schedule and three really good teams on their tail. Something tells me that a rotation of Mark Hendrickson, Scott Olsen, Ricky Nolasco, and... Burke Badenhop (?) isn't going to hold up over the long haul.
All the Cabreras in the world wouldn't be enough to overcome that kind of pitching. Then again, right now the same could be said of Detroit's pitching staff, which boasts guys with much better track records. As per usual, baseball is a funny game...
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Marlins Better Off without Cabrera?
by
Geoff Young
on Fri 09 May 2008 12:46 PM EDT | Permanent Link
Comments
Re: Marlins Better Off without Cabrera?
I would put a lot of money on the Marlins falling flat on their faces. Their Pythagorean W-L puts them at 17-17, 3 games worse than their current 20-14 record. They have a team BABiP of .312, which is a tad high.
Jorge Cantu's BABiP is .326 -- I think he is going to have the greatest fall of the Marlins' offensive players. Similarly, I don't think Mark Hendrickson will continue to be above-average given his low strikeout rate. And Scott Olsen's BABiP-against is an amazingly low .197 -- definitely due for a regression to the mean. And after those two, the Marlins don't have anyone reliable in their starting rotation. I do like their bullpen... |
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